EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2025 — Reference Case projections through 2050
Solar PV 2030
237 GW
Onshore Wind 2030
195 GW
Renewable Share 2030
33.7%
Renewable Share 2050
63.8%
US renewable energy & storage capacity, 2025–2050 (GW)
Percentage of total US electricity from renewables
Today
23.3%
1,041.9 TWh
2035
48.7%
2,527.2 TWh
2050
63.8%
4,240.7 TWh
Compound annual growth rate by technology, 2025–2050
Near-Term (2025–2030)
Total and renewable generation volumes, 2025–2050 (TWh)
Notable projected thresholds in the Reference Case
Solar overtakes onshore wind
Solar reaches 237 GW vs wind 195 GW
Renewables reach 50%
Renewables projected to provide half of US electricity
Battery storage exceeds 100 GW
Storage reaches 104 GW by 2040
Offshore wind exceeds 40 GW
Offshore fleet grows from 5.8 GW today
Reference Case, click column headers to sort
| Year | Solar PV (GW) | Onshore Wind (GW) | Offshore Wind (GW) | Battery (GW) | Renew. Gen (TWh) | Total Gen (TWh) | Renew. Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 150.6 | 160.2 | 5.8 | 33.4 | 1,041.9 | 4,471.6 | 23.3% |
| 2026 | 174.5 | 166.7 | 11.0 | 39.4 | 1,211.4 | 4,502.1 | 26.9% |
| 2030 | 236.8 | 194.5 | 27.0 | 48.8 | 1,586.7 | 4,709.9 | 33.7% |
| 2035 | 474.9 | 311.0 | 39.2 | 61.0 | 2,527.2 | 5,187.2 | 48.7% |
| 2040 | 594.6 | 484.0 | 44.3 | 104.3 | 3,426.9 | 5,756.8 | 59.5% |
| 2045 | 696.4 | 524.2 | 45.4 | 181.9 | 3,819.3 | 6,212.1 | 61.5% |
| 2050 | 852.3 | 555.9 | 46.4 | 258.7 | 4,240.7 | 6,646.4 | 63.8% |
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2025, Reference Case (April 2025).
Data extracted from Table 54: Electric Power Projections and Table 56: Renewable Energy Generation by Fuel. All figures represent the electric power sector (utility-scale) only and use net summer capacity. Battery storage corresponds to the “Diurnal Storage” category in EIA taxonomy. Renewable generation includes conventional hydro, geothermal, biomass, solar (PV + thermal), and wind (onshore + offshore).
Side-case scenarios (High/Low Renewable Cost, High/Low Oil Price) are published separately by EIA and may be added when supplemental data files become available.